Governments often engage with diasporas to promote homeland loyalty and political interests. How do home governments try to influence diaspora attitudes toward host countries? We develop a theory of diaspora-targeted propaganda that uses wedge …
There is a large and growing literature on how authoritarian regimes use pro-government propaganda to enhance their survival. However, there has been little research on how regimes use propaganda to manipulate their citizen's beliefs about other …
What motivates state-sponsored vaccine misinformation campaigns, given clear scientific evidence of vaccines' efficacy? We explore this issue through the lens of state-owned presses published in mainland China and in Hong Kong. We first collect an …
Elections are highly salient events, not just to citizens who participate but also to foreign observers. For citizens of many authoritarian regimes with constrained media environments, their understanding of democratic elections can be entirely …
The rise of the internet, social media, and the digitization of archives have led to an accumulation of untold quantities of unlabeled text data of relevance to the social sciences. Efficiently extracting information from those corpora frequently …
A topic that has been of perennial interest in political science is that of government actors' political power. However, measurement of political power has thus far been a highly costly process involving hand-coding by experts; consequently, only the …
In this paper, we determine whether scarcity of a resource that is high in demand can induce international conflict. Specifically, we test whether the combination of fishery depletion and high fishing activity causes an increase conflict in the South …
The Manifesto Project’s widely used left-right index of party policy positions (RILE), built from human-coded sentences from party manifestos, can be predicted using machine learning. We demonstrate this using some simple classifiers to show that …