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Predicting Left-Right Positions from Hand-Coded Content Analysis using Machine Learning

The Manifesto Project’s widely used left-right index of party policy positions (RILE), built from human-coded sentences from party manifestos, can be predicted using machine learning. We demonstrate this using some simple classifiers to show that …

Over-fishing, Conflict, and the S.C.S.

In this paper, we determine whether scarcity of a resource that is high in demand can induce international conflict. Specifically, we test whether the combination of fishery depletion and high fishing activity causes an increase conflict in the South …